Never judge a draft class until it is completed.
It's a good thing my girlfriend dragged me out of our apartment to go for a walk on a glorious spring day, otherwise my twitter fingers may have gone off on Ryan Pace prematurely.
I share my feelings on each individual pick and player below, but one constant though throughout this draft that I kept having was:
"But what about this guy? Why'd you pass on him?"
This was getting me heated on multiple occasions because I thought the Bears were missing out on players who could fill certain needs. Admittedly, that thought process clouded my judgement of the picks in the moment. Time to digest those picks, coupled with seeing how the whole class came together put me in a better place. I still have my concerns (which I'll mention), but I feel more comfortable now.
Here's my pick-by-pick analysis:
Round 2; Pick 11: TE Cole Kmet, Notre Dame
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St. Viator (Arlington Heights, IL) alumnus Cole Kmet. The former two sport Lion and Fighting Irish TE and Pitcher should provide a great boost for a struggling Bears offense |
Ok, first things first:
This kid went to the same high school I did (I graduated in '10, him in '17) and we played for the same baseball coach, who I am still very close with to this day. So honestly, I was secretly hoping the Bears would draft him.
That being said, when he was announced, I'll admit I didn't love it at first. It wasn't the player, it wasn't that there wasn't a need or it was bad value (no way was he making it to 50, let alone further than that):
It was Denzel Mims.
Ever since the Senior Bowl, I've had a serious man crush on Mims. That only intensified with an impressive combine that shot him into first round pick territory. I honestly didn't think he would fall to 43, but somehow he did, and I thought the Bears should pounce on this big time playmaker.
However, the Bears went the TE route instead. And of course, in typical Bears twitter and National Sports Media fashion, both were very quick to point out that the Bears now had 10 TEs on the roster.
What both of those entities failed to acknowledge though, is that of the 9 other TEs on the roster, only 2 or 3 are actually worthy of roster consideration. Additionally, this pick coupled with the Jimmy Graham signing puzzled some (like myself), but the more thought that went into it, it's not that shocking.
For one, Nagy's offense is predicated on strong TE play, specifically out of two TE sets (one "Y" in-line TE and one "U" "move" TE). Kmet fits perfect at a "Y" position, while Graham is best suited for the "U".
Kmet is also only 21 years old and split his time between football and baseball (he was the team's closer) at Notre Dame, so he is still a bit raw in some aspects and needs time to develop. Part of this pick is the long term upside. Regardless of the how the team's QB situation pans out this year, whoever is at QB in 2021 and beyond should have a big and talented TE to throw to.
PICK GRADE: B+
Round 2; Pick 18: CB Jaylon Johnson, Utah
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Utah CB Jaylon Johnson is game ready. His football instincts and aggressive mindset is a perfect fit alongside all pros Eddie Jackson and Kyle Fuller. |
While the Kmet pick didn't necessarily bother me, the Jaylon Johnson pick initially got me HEATED.
I couldn't believe the Bears would pass on Mims TWICE. Not only that, but one of my favorite OTs in the draft (Josh Jones) and safeties (Jeremy Chinn) were both also still available, so it was perplexing to me that the Bears took a player at a position that I didn't see as a high need.
However, Johnson's talent is undeniable. He's arguably a top 20 talent in this draft and is game ready because of his instincts and intelligence. He lack top end speed and his hips can be a little tight, but he bullies WRs and has a nose for the football. The Bears love physical CBs, and Johnson fits that Charles Tillman/Kyle Fuller mold. There are definite concerns over his shoulder injury history, however, the Bears were obviously comfortable with his medicals and could have landed one of the steals of the draft.
PICK GRADE: B+
Round 5; Pick 10: Edge Trevis Gipson, Tulsa
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Tulsa's Trevis Gipson has the raw athletic ability and tenacity to be a difference maker at the next level. You can never have too many good pass rushers in the NFL. |
Then they draft an edge rusher.
Didn't they just sign Robert Quinn? What the hell do we need an edge rusher for? We need developmental OL, playmaking WRs, and a starting S. Not only that, but we traded up for him?
But then the Bears didn't trade up. No, instead they traded a 2021 4th rounder. And then I read up on Gipson:
Kid can play.
Prototypical size, length, and speed combined with good power both on the rush and against the run. His pure talent and athleticism is very impressive, but he's still raw. Scouts say he still needs work on his punch and his counter rush abilities, but hey, I think working with two all-pro edge rushers may help the kid out don't you think?
As for the 4th round pick the Bears traded away, I was reading somewhere that the Bears actually had a 4th round grade on Gipson anyways. Additionally, NFL.com's rating system gave him prospect rating of 6.22, narrowly missing a designation of "Will be a starter within first two seasons".
Pace has a knack for this drafting defenders on the 3rd day thing.
PICK GRADE: A-
Round 5; Pick 18: CB Kindle Vildor, Georgia Southern
At this point I'm watching the draft, I'm real heated.
ANOTHER corner? How many more are we going to roster? How many more picks are we going to have until we get someone at a position of need?
Yet again in this draft, time started to set me straight. What I thought was just a depth/special teams signing actually looks more and more like a legitimate threat to start at nickel corner very soon. Vildor is a little undersized (5'10" 191), but is a great athlete with good length. He doesn't possess the requisite top speed or physicality to play on the outside, but his coverage skills are solid. Now that the draft has been completed, I've actually started to see some rumors that Buster Skrine may be cut ($4M savings), so I think that speaks to Vildor's abilities.
PICK GRADE: B
Round 5; Pick 28: WR Darnell Mooney, Tulane
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A touchdown waiting to happen, Tulane's Darnell Mooney is the lightining in a bottle that the Bears lacked at WR in 2019. |
The Bears trade up and FINALLY take the WR I've been waiting for.
But wait, that's not Donovan Peoples-Jones (who I also really wanted because of his upside). In fact, I've never came across this kid in my pre-draft research.
Oh, but this kid can FLY (4.38 40 at the combine). The thing I had been asking for all draft is a big time playmaker offensively. Well this kid is it. He can blow the top off the defense (which no other Bears WR can do) and he can take short passes and turn them into TDs (which also, no Bears WR can do). He's touted as a slot WR, but he can also play outside (which is where I think the Bears could really use him).
I liked the potential of DPJ and am a little disappointed the passed on a possible starter at strong safety in Antoine Brooks Jr., however, I like what I see out of Mooney. He's unlikely to be an every down WR because of his thin frame and lack of detailed route running, but his ability to be lighting in a bottle is exactly what the doctor ordered for the Bears anemic offense.
PICK GRADE: B+
Round 7; Pick 12: OT Arlington Hambright, Colorado
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Colorado OT Arlington Hambright has a lot of developing left to do, but he has all the right tools in place to make it work. |
There's the OL project I was waiting for. This one looks like a deep scouting dive by the Bears. I thought they'd take a shot on Trey Adams (who took a massive tumble after a bad combine) or Terence Steele (an intriguing developmental prospect out of Texas Tech), but I'm assuming something on tape stood out to new OL coach Juan Castillo.
Hambright lacks the length and size to stay at tackle, so he'll likely be moved inside to guard. He moves very well (4.97 40 at his pro day) and has decent body strength, so it seems like there's something for the Bears to play with here. He's got a lot of ironing out and developing to do and will likely end up on the practice squad in year one, but could be someone to keep an eye out for the future.
PICK GRADE: B
Round 7; Pick 13: OG Lachavious Simmons, Tennessee State
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Playing at a small school, Tennessee State OG Lachavious Simmons dominated his competition. He needs a lot of seasoning, but with the right coaching, this mauler could have a promising future. |
One. Mean. SOB.
At 6'5" 315 with excellent length and versatility, Simmons provides a lot of upside. He possess a lot of power at the point of attack and open holes nicely in the run game. Played at a small school, but took care of his competition with ease, which is a big plus. This looks like another developmental project to let Juan Castillo get his hands on to mold.
I like it.
PICK GRADE: B+
Overall Impressions
Ryan Pace did a good job of managing the few picks he did have, even snagging two additional 5th round pick at what I think are very low costs. Despite not liking most of the picks on the surface initially, I think in the end of things the Bears came out alright. I worry about passing on talented players like Denzel Mims, Jeremy Chinn, and Josh Jones, but it seems like they identified their guys and went out and got them. Adding in Kmet should stabilize the offense immediately alongside Jimmy Graham, and adding Mooney should add an extra bit of "umph" into an offense that ranked near the bottom in "explosive plays" in 2019. Meanwhile, Jaylon Johnson should be the odds on favorite to be the starting CB opposite of Kyle Fuller in 2020 and Trevis Gipson adds some necessary depth/insurance behind Robert Quinn and Khalil Mack.
I wasn't expecting the Bears to land a starting OL in this draft, but I was hoping they'd swing a little harder for a developmental prospect than just two 7th round picks. That being said, the two kids they drafted do intrigue me.
OVERALL DRAFT GRADE: B+