Saturday, October 3, 2020

Week 4 NFL ATS and DFS Picks

Preston Williams ($5500 on FD) hasn't quite recaptured his 2019 pre-ACL form yet, but a matchup with an exploitable Seattle Seahawks secondary in an explosive, high-scoring game (Total 54.5) could be just the right mix for a breakout performance

"You didn't see anything". 

My week 3 ATS picks were an illusion (just like week 1). They don't exist. Week 4 is all that matters.

Week in review ATS: 1-5 (pick of the week: L)

Season ATS: 7-10-1 (picks of the week: 2-1)

Pick of the Week: Minnesota Vikings @ Houston Texans (-3.5)

I believe the Texans to be a better team than the 0-3 record indicates, while the Vikings are right about in line with their 0-3 record. The Texans have had a very difficult schedule to open their season (@Chiefs, Ravens, @Steelers) and now they face an uphill battle to make the playoffs. Fortunately, they get to end the first quarter of their season with a soft home matchup against a Vikings team who can't stop anybody defensively and have had their share of struggles offensively. I expect a big game out of Watson and co. this Sunday

Other Picks

I've had some early success picking the Bears this season, so I'm gonna roll with Ind @ Chi (+3) to help get my picks back on track. I think the Colts are overrated and the Bears are underrated. If the Seattle Seahawks a playing a game this season, I want the over on that game. Over 54.5 Sea @ Mia is not nearly enough points to scare me away. Put me down for Under 54 NO @ Det. Alvin Kamara may run wild on the Detroit defense, but I'm not buying Drew Brees without Michael Thomas and the Saints D should be able to hold Detroit in check enough. Don't look now, but the Bills and Raiders have been two of the more high-powered offenses in the league to start the season. Over 52.5 Buf @ LVR in what could be an intriguing shootout. Finally, I'll cap off my pick with a MNF one. Over 56.5 Atl @ GB almost seems too easy in a game that could turn into the equivalent of a college shootout. Those chances get even higher if the trio of Ridley/Julio/Adams all suit up.

DFS Picks

Week in review:

  Name Cost FDP Value
QB Stud Russell Wilson $8,700 36.8 4.2
  Sleeper Mitch Trubisky* $7,500 12.6 1.7
 
Ryan Tannehill $7,400 13.2 1.8
  Fade Justin Herbert $7,200 15.7 2.2
RB Stud Derrick Henry $8,200 26.0 3.2
  Sleeper Kenyan Drake $6,500 8.4 1.3
 
Joshua Kelley $5,900 4.2 0.7
  Fade Jerrick McKinnon $5,700 15.2 2.7
WR Stud Chris Godwin** $7,900 14.9 1.9
  Sleeper Terry McLaurin $6,700 10.6 1.6
 
DK Metcalf*** $6,500 17.0 2.6
  Fade Calvin Ridley**** $8,000 14.2 1.8
TE Stud None NA NA NA
  Sleeper Noah Fant $5,800 7.1 1.2
 
Jonnu Smith $5,600 8.6 1.5
  Fade None NA NA NA
DST Stud Chargers $5,000 4.0 0.8
  Sleeper Buccaneers $3,800 18.0 4.7
  Fade 49ers $4,600 12.0 2.6

*Trubisky was benched in the third quarter against the Falcons

**Godwin left his game with with a hamstring injury

***Metcalf fumbled away a walk-in TD in the first quarter against the Falcons. That's what you get for showboating before the job is done

****Ridely did most of his damage on the Falcons' first play from scrimmage, but was held relatively in check after that

Week 4 picks:


  Name Opp Cost
QB Stud Kyler Murray Car $8,400
  Sleeper Ryan Fitzpatrick Sea $7,100
 
Jared Goff NYG $7,500
  Fade Josh Allen Buf $8,600
RB Stud Dalvin Cook Hou $8,700
  Sleeper James Robinson Cin $6,600
 
David Johnson Min $6,700
  Fade Joe Mixon Jac $6,800
WR Stud Tyler Lockett Mia $7,500
  Sleeper Preston Williams Sea $5,500
 
Robert Woods NYG $6,700
  Fade Mike Evans LAC $7,400
TE Stud Darren Waller  Buf $6,700
  Sleeper TJ Hockenson NO $5,400
 
Rob Gronkowski LAC $5,200
  Fade Mike Gesicki Sea $5,700
DST Stud Ravens Was $5,000
  Sleeper Bears Ind $4,100
  Fade Colts Chi $4,900

QB:

The QB position this week is filled with a lot of options, so picking out the right players could be difficult. However, give me Kyler Murray to bounce back strong against an exploitable Panthers defense and return some good value. Ryan Fitzpatrick is my all around favorite play this week. Any QB playing the weak Seahawks secondary deserves a long look in DFS, and Fitz has the gunslinger ability to drop a lot of points at a fraction of the cost. Jared Goff might fly under a lot of people's radars, but he's quietly been putting together a strong campaign. The Giants may look good on paper against the pass, but they were torched in week 1 by Ben Roethlisberger. LA should be able to exploit them as well. Josh Allen has been pretty much matchup-proof early this season, but he's in a spot here where I don't love him. The Raiders just shut down Cam Newton and they stifled Drew Brees in their only home game this season. Allen will also likely be pretty popular and I don't love the price. If you're in this price range for QB, you're better off spending the extra $400 for Russell Wilson or saving $200 for Kyler Murray.

RB:

Dalvin Cook has been an absolute workhorse to start the season and has provided good consistency as well. Volume, consistency, and matchup are a tantalizing combination in DFS. James Robinson has been all over the field for the Jaguars thus far this year. His involvement in the passing game is a big boost for his fantasy value, as is a soft matchup against the Bengals. David Johnson has been a victim of a tough early season schedule, but he finally gets one he can exploit in week 4. I expect him to take advantage. Joe Mixon looks like he's going to play after being a surprise late week addition to the Bengals' injury report, but I'm avoiding him. I think the Bengals will look to exploit Jacksonville's weak secondary, limiting Mixon's upside. Robinson and DJ are better options for the same cost.

WR: 

Tyler Lockett has been the definition of a stud so far this season though, and he gets another strong matchup again this week. DeVante Parker will no doubt be very chalky against Seattle, but I'm diving a little deeper an picking the starting WR opposite of him: Preston Williams. Williams hasn't quite recaptured his early season success from last season as he works his way back from an ACL injury, but a breakout could very well be on the horizon. All Robert Woods does is catch footballs and produce. The Giants secondary is nothing to write home about and Woods should make the perfect stack with Goff. Last time Chris Godwin was out I tried fading Mike Evans and it didn't work out too well. This time I feel a little better about it since Evans has to face a much tougher test in the Chargers corners. I'd avoid him at this price.

TE: 

Darren Waller struggled last week after dealing with a nagging injury, but he looks to be fully healthy now. The Bills got absolutely worked by Mike Gesicki in week 2, and Waller is not only a better talent but should have more opportunity with the Raiders being down both of their starting WRs (Ruggs/Edwards). New Orleans has struggled mightily against TEs to this point of the season, thus making TJ Hockenson a cash-saving upside play this week. If you're someone who likes to take risks, look no further than Rob Gronkowski. Chris Godwin's absence should open up some targets for the rest of the offense, and while the Chargers are strong on the outside, they're desperately missing Derwin James at the safety positon. Gronk used to be a matchup nightmare, let's see if he's still got it. Finally, I expect Mike Gesicki to be pretty chalky, so that's a good reason to look elsewhere. Another is that WRs are responsible for most of the damage against the Seattle secondary, not TEs. Gesicki could be fool's gold this week.

DST:

There is no doubt the Ravens will be massive chalk this weekend, but for good reason. Washington should be a super exploitable matchup and Baltimore should come out pissed off after their performance on MNF last week. I think the Bears may feast on Philip Rivers this week. The switch to Foles at QB may allow Chuck Pagano to be more willing to get aggressive defensively, and when that happens the Bears are notorious for forcing turnovers and creating TDs. On the other side of that game, don't buy into the Colts this week. I'm not saying the Bears offense will be world beaters, but they will certainly put up better fights than the Colts opponents to this point. Being almost identical in price as the Ravens, just spend up for the Ravens.

 

Here are my lineups for the week:

Main Slate











SuperFlex


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Good Luck!

Saturday, September 26, 2020

Week 3 NFL ATS and DFS Picks

Kenyan Drake is teetering on the edge of a breakout. This week he gets his chance to explode against a porous Detroit Lions defense. Drake is a meager $6500 on FanDuel and the Cardinals are 5.5 point favorites at home.

Now that's how you bounce back! Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season couldn't have gone any better for me ATS or in DFS. Let's keep it rolling.

Week in review ATS: 5-1 (pick of the week: W)

Season ATS: 6-5-1 (picks of the week: 2-0)

Pick of the Week: Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals (-5.5)

The Detroit Lions are just not a very good football team, especially on defense. And now, they have to run into the buzz saw that is the Arizona Cardinals offense. Kyler Murray has been on fire to start the season and could be at the forefront of the MVP discussion if not for Russell Wilson. Detroit at least gets Kenny Golladay to make his 2020 season debut, but I don't think that moves the needle much. 5.5 points at home is a gift.

Other Picks

Justin Herbert quickly showed why he's a 6th overall pick as he pushed the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink on the road. He gets a much easier matchup with Car @ LAC (-6.5) this week. The start of the 2020 NFL season has not been pretty at all for the Philadelphia Eagles. I think that changes this weekend Cin @ Phi (-4.5). Pardon the homer pick, but I like Chi (+3) @ Atl. The flashes have been there for Mitch Trubisky early this season and the Falcons will be missing half their team due to injury (that's less of a hyperbole than you might think). I didn't buy into the Tom Brady and Tampa Bay hype all off-season, and I'm not impressed with their performances the first two weeks either. Give me TB @ Den (+6) with the Broncos being better than their 0-2 record indicates. And in that same game I'll also take Over 42.5 TB @ Den. Drew Lock may be out for the Broncos, but the Bucs defense is nothing to be scared of and Jeff Driskel was slinging it last week.

DFS Picks

Week in review:

    Name Cost FDP Value
QB Stud Dak Prescott $8,300 39.8 4.8
  Sleeper Mitchell Trubisky $7,200 15.2 2.1
 
Matthew Stafford $7,200 17.2 2.4
  Fade Tom Brady $7,600 9.7 1.3
RB Stud Derrick Henry $8,300 8.4 1.0
  Sleeper Aaron Jones* $7,700 43.6 5.7
 
Jonathan Taylor $5,800 18.0 3.1
  Fade Melvin Gordon $6,700 15.4 2.3
WR Stud DaVante Adams** $8,600 5.1 0.6
  Sleeper Parris Campbell*** $5,300 0.7 0.1
 
CeeDee Lamb $5,200 14.5 2.8
  Fade Robert Woods**** $6,700 10.3 1.5
TE Stud Travis Kelce $7,800 19.5 2.5
  Sleeper Tyler Higbee $5,800 25.9 4.5
 
Logan Thomas $4,700 4.6 1.0
  Fade Mark Andrews $7,500 3.4 0.5
DST Stud Steelers $4,600 13.0 2.8
  Sleeper Bears $4,000 12.0 3.0
  Fade Vikings $4,100 4.0 1.0

*Jones was owned in only a meager 12.24% of entries. A real money winner last Sunday

**A hamstring injury pulled Adams out of a blowout vs. Detroit

***A scary knee injury cost Campbell a majority of his matchup with the Vikings

****Woods was held to only 2 catches for 14 yards. He salvaged his day with a short TD run

Week 3 picks:

    Name Opp Cost
QB Stud Russell Wilson Dal $8,700
  Sleeper Mitch Trubisky Atl $7,500
 
Ryan Tannehill Min $7,400
  Fade Justin Herbert Car $7,200
RB Stud Derrick Henry Min $8,200
  Sleeper Kenyan Drake Det $6,500
 
Joshua Kelley Car $5,900
  Fade Jerrick McKinnon NYG $5,700
WR Stud Chris Godwin Den $7,900
  Sleeper Terry McLaurin Cle $6,700
 
DK Metcalf Dal
$6,500
  Fade Calvin Ridley Chi $8,000
TE Stud None    
  Sleeper Noah Fant TB $5,800
 
Hayden Hurst
Chi
$5,700
  Fade None
 
DST Stud Chargers Car $5,000
  Sleeper Buccaneers Den $3,800
  Fade 49ers NYG $4,600

QB:

MVP! MVP! MVP! Give me Russell Wilson against the leaky Cowboys secondary every single time. I promise I'm not being a homer. Mitch Trubisky just keeps getting these tantalizing early season matchups. Mitch could have another 2018 Tampa Bay game on Sunday. Ryan Tanehill has kept firing away and building on his strong 2019 campaign. The Vikings defense has been one of the worst in all of football these first two weeks. I don't dislike Justin Herbert's talent, but the game script won't be his friend this week. Carolina has been awful against the run so the two lead backs for the Chargers should eat this week (more on that in a second) and that keeps points away from Herbert.

RB:

I keep waiting for the explosive Derrick Henry game to come. I thought it might be last week against Jacksonville, but Tennessee did most of their damage through the air. I think a matchup with a Minnesota defense that just got shredded by Jonathan Taylor is the one. I was on Aaron Jones against the horrid Detroit defense last week, now I'm all over Kenyan Drake. Drake's has touched the ball 40 times in the first two weeks. That kind of usage could spell a huge day in what should be an up and down matchup. Remember how I said Carolina's run defense is awful? I'm all over Joshua Kelley at the price point. Jerrick McKinnon will be one of the most popular value plays this week, but I'm staying away. For one, the Giants DL is actually pretty strong so running the ball doesn't come with ease. But I'm also worried about usage for McKinnon with both Jeff Wilson and JaMychal Hasty around. His upside is capped.

WR: 

Finding a "stud" WR I liked this week was difficult with some of the big names either injured or playing in primetime. I don't love Chris Godwin, but the Broncos pass defense has been leaky so I don't mind the matchup. Terry McLaurin had a big game last week in what was expected to be a tougher matchup. He gets a softer defense this week and remains Dwayne Haskins' top target. I like both of the top WR from Seattle this week, but if I had to choose one I'm going to lean on DK Metcalf. The Cowboys have been torched by outside WRs these first two weeks. Get as much exposure on this game as you can. Calvin Ridley could be in for a VERY tough week. Julio Jones very well miss this game and that would allow the Bears to devote extra attention to Ridley. Even if Jones plays, both top corners for the Bears (Kyle Fuller and Jaylon Johnson) have looked great to start the season. Spend your money elsewhere.

TE: 

The TE slate is pretty thin this week with George Kittle being injured and Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews playing on MNF. Therefore, I have no true "stud" or "fade" picks. In the sleeper department, Noah Fant is off to a strong start and should be able to take advantage of an exploitable Buccaneers secondary. While I don't like Calvin Ridley, I do like Hayden Hurst in that same game. The Bears aren't the best at covering TEs, and if Julio Jones does miss the game that should only increase Hurst's value.

DST:

No Christian McCaffrey? The Panthers are in trouble. The Chargers are well worth their price this week. While I think the game might put up some points, I still like the Buccaneers unit to get to Jeff Driskel and force a turnover or two. They should return some solid value. Avoid the 49ers at all costs. The matchup may look enticing, but the team is completely decimated by injuries. Not worth the money at all.

 

Here are my lineups for the week:

Main Slate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SuperFlex

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Best of luck!

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Week 2 Film Review: Giants @ Bears (VLOG)

It didn't take long for Robert Quinn to make an impact in a Bears uniform. The prized off-season acquisition registered a sack, FF, TFL, and 2 QB hits in his first game

Some quick highlights before you watch the video:

  • From my viewing, Mitch Trubisky actually played very well. The end game stats do not tell the full story of how smooth he played for a majority of this game (see "Mitch Counter" below).
  • OL play wasn't as strong as it was against Detroit, but nonetheless solid. However, James Daniels and Cody Whitehair seemed to have their struggles with the interior DL of the Giants. Charles Leno continues to softer than pudding.
  • Offense was much more efficient on third down, converting in a multitude of ways. A big positive after the struggles last week.
  • Seemed like a tale of two halves when watching the defense live on Sunday. Film looked a little better than expected in the second half for the unit, but they seemingly lacked some bite. I don't know if this is an effort/fatigue thing or Pagano was holding them back. This needs to be cleaned up as the schedule gets tougher.
  • Nagy wasn't as cautious as I initially thought he was in the second half. That being said, it seemed like the offensive play-calling/execution lacked a certain flow that the unit had in the first half (same as the defense). These are coaching points that are going to need to be adjusted to avoid second half letdowns
  • Khalil Mack LOVES having Akiem Hicks and Robert Quinn around
  • Something is off with Danny Trevathan. Not just physically, mentally he seems off as well.

Mitch Counter (Gradable plays only)

Double negative: 0

Negative: 8 (4 in first half)

Neutral: 5 (all in first half)

Positive: 10 (4 in first half)

Double positive: 6 (5 in first half)

YouTube link: 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLAniDBMngo&feature=youtu.be

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Week 2 NFL ATS and DFS Picks

 

Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys return home after a disappointing week 1 loss to face an exploitable Falcons defense. Expect a better performance from Dallas (who is only -4) and some fireworks from the offense this weekend (Over/Under 53).

Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season was not my best week either ATS or in DFS. But we get right back up on that horse and we persevere.

Week in review ATS: 1-4-1 (pick of the week: W)

Pick of the Week: San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) @ New York Jets

Normally I would be a little hesitant to take West coast teams traveling cross country to play in 1pm est contest, but that is something I am willing to overlook in this match-up. The 49ers lost a tough game to the Cardinals on opening weekend, but I think the Cardinals are an underrated team this season. The Niners offense will be without their two top receiving option (Kittle and Samuel), but they should get Brandon Aiyuk to make his NFL debut. This team should be hungry and they want to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start. Playing the woeful Jets should help things plenty

Other Picks

Last week's performance by Green Bay was definitely an eye catcher. I still need to see a little more out of them before I start buying fully in, but I am comfortable taking Det @ GB (-6.5) this weekend. I am also a fan of the Over 50 Det @ GB in that same game. GB's offense was firing on all cylinders last weekend and Detroit's defense is a joke. I think the Lions offense can do enough against the Packers defense to hit the over. Over 47.5 Car @ TB also stands out to me as a solid bet. The Bucs have more than a few weapons on offense and can exploit a weak Panthers D. The Panthers offense looked good in a shootout with Las Vegas last week, so they should be able to put some points up on the underwhelming Bucs defense. The Cowboys need to bounce back after a crushing SNF loss last weekend. A date with the Falcons is the perfect remedy. Give me Atl @ Dal (-4). Finally, I like the SNF game Over 44.5 NE @ Sea. This total seems a little low for me with the fireworks display the Seahawks put on last week, and the Patriots should be able to find some holes in the Seattle defense.

 DFS Picks

Week in review:

    Name Cost FDP Value
QB Stud Russell Wilson $8,400 31.8 3.8
  Sleeper Mitchell Trubisky $6,900 24.3 3.5
 
Gardner Minshew $6,700 20.8 3.1
  Fade Josh Allen $7,900 28.2 3.6
RB Stud Christian McCaffrey $10,000 27.0 2.7
  Sleeper Marlon Mack* $6,100 7.1 1.2
 
Boston Scott $4,700 6.4 1.4
  Fade Nick Chubb $7,500 5.1 0.7
WR Stud Julio Jones $8,200 20.2 2.5
  Sleeper Bryan Edwards $4,500 1.4 0.3
 
Terry McLaurin $6,500 8.6 1.3
  Fade Mike Evans** $7,500 6.7 0.9
TE Stud George Kittle*** $8,000 7.3 0.9
  Sleeper Hayden Hurst $5,200 5.3 1.0
 
Will Dissly $4,900 1.8 0.4
  Fade Rob Gronkowski $5,500 2.1 0.4
DST Stud Bills $4,700 8.0 1.7
  Sleeper Colts $3,700 4.0 1.1
  Fade Patriots $4,600 11.0 2.4

*Marlon Mack left his game early. Was off to a hot start

**Mike Evans was bailed out by his only catch of the game, a 2-yard TD

***George Kittle left the game in the first half. He returned but scored no points in the 2nd half

 Week 2 picks:

    Name Opp Cost
QB Stud Dak Prescott ATL $8,300
  Sleeper Mitchell Trubisky NYG $7,200
 
Matthew Stafford GB $7,200
  Fade Tom Brady CAR $7,600
RB Stud Derrick Henry JAX $8,300
  Sleeper Aaron Jones DET $7,700
 
Jonathan Taylor MIN $5,800
  Fade Melvin Gordon PIT $6,700
WR Stud DaVante Adams DET $8,600
  Sleeper Parris Campbell MIN $5,300
 
CeeDee Lamb ATL $5,200
  Fade Robert Woods PHI $6,700
TE Stud Travis Kelce LAC $7,800
  Sleeper Tyler Higbee PHI $5,800
 
Logan Thomas ARI $4,700
  Fade Mark Andrews HOU $7,500
DST Stud Steelers DEN $4,600
  Sleeper Bears NYG $4,000
  Fade Vikings IND $4,100

QB:

After watching Russell Wilson tear them apart last weekend, I'm all in on Dak Prescott to do it to the Falcons again this weekend with all those weapons at his disposal. I'm going back to the Mitchell Trubisky well yet again. At $7200 he offers some really nice cost savings against a Giants secondary that just got exploited by Ben Roethlisberger at home. Matthew Stafford should also have some strong upside, especially if the Lions are going to have to keep up with the Packers offense. I'm fading Tom Brady this week for multiple reasons. For one, both of his top targets are having injury trouble (Mike Evans is still dealing with the hamstring injury and Chris Godwin is in concussion protocol). But I also think that the Bucs will rely heavily on their running game to beat the Panthers (much like the Raiders did last week)

RB:

Derrick Henry was not efficient Monday night against the Broncos, but still saw 31(!) carries to the tune of 14.6 FDP. The Jaguars offer a much weaker run D than the Broncos so the upside is real with Henry. I know it may seem weird to call a $7700 price tag a "sleeper", but Aaron Jones should have elite upside against a Detroit team that just got gashed on the ground by the Bears last week and he's kinda hiding beneath other elite backs in price (Elliott, Henry, CEH). It's Jonathan Taylor time already in Indy. Minnesota's defense is in shambles right now and Taylor should get a lot of volume this week. Melvin Gordon may look tempting with Philip Lindsay likely out, but the Steelers defense just completely bottled up Saquon Barkley on Monday night. Too much bust potential for me.

WR: 

Detroit's defense got exposed by Mitch Trubisky in the 4th quarter last week. Aaron Rodgers and DaVante Adams are a better duo than anyone the Bears can throw out there. Philip Rivers was looking Parris Campbell's way often against the Jaguars and he performed well out of the slot. The Vikings were shredded last week from the slot position. With Blake Jarwin being lost for the season and the Atlanta Falcons defense in town, first round rookie CeeDee Lamb could have a breakout game Sunday. Robert Woods had a good performance on SNF, but he faces a matchup against Darius Slay this week that will likely limit his upside.

TE: 

Derwin James is out for the season, so Travis Kelce should be a strong target in this matchup. The Eagles did a decent job against the Football Team WRs last week, but they let Logan Thomas do some work on them. I like Tyler Higbee to perform in a similar manner this week. Speaking of Logan Thomas, he drew 8 targets last week. He gets to go up against a notoriously bad TE-defending defense in Arizona this week at minuscule cost. Mark Andrews performance from last weekend may look dominating, but it was really buoyed by the two TDs. Lamar Jackson showed a lot more willingness to target his WRs and Houston allowed 4 different targets to catch 3+ passes last Thursday against the Chiefs. I think the Ravens spread the ball around again, and that limits Andrews' upside

DST:

The Steelers were all over Daniel Jones and the Giants offense Monday night. The Broncos were uninspiring at home against a lesser defense in Tennessee. Good matchup for the Steelers. The Bears underwhelmed against the Lions offense, but it looks like they should get Robert Quinn back this week to help that pass rush. Daniel Jones likes to turn the ball over as well. This is not the same Vikings defense. They were absolutely shredded by the Packers last week, and while the Colts are a better matchup, I'm not quite buying them this week.

 

Here are my lineups for the week:

Main Slate




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SuperFlex



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Best of luck!

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Week 1 Film Review: Bears @ Lions (VLOG)

Rookie Jaylon Johnson seals the Chicago Bears week 1 victor over the Lions
 

 Just some brief highlights before you watch the video:

  • Everyone on the offensive line not named Charles Leno looked very strong
  • Saw a lot of offensive plays that were a mere single aspect away from breaking big (missed penalty not being called when it should have, one missed block, an off-target throw, etc.). This kept the offense from putting up big numbers in the points department until late. Could have been up big at halftime.
  • Montgomery, Cohen, and Patterson all looked fantastic running the football, especially Monty (was exceptional and gaining extra yardage after contact)
  • Really loved the scheme Nagy had throughout the game. Established the run early and built off of that. Didn't go away from it in the second half despite being down big (was crucial to keeping the Lions honest defensively) 
  • I think people may have underrated Mitch's play in the first three quarters and slightly overrated his play in the 4th quarter (see below)
  • Mitch Trubisky tracker (tracks horrible, bad, neutral, good, and outstanding plays):
    • Double negative plays: 5 (3 in the first three quarters)
    • Negative plays: 7 (all in the first three quarters)
    • Neutral plays: 9 (7 in the first three quarters)
    • Check plays: 10 (7 in the first three quarters)
    • Check-plus plays: 6 (3 in the first three quarters)

 


YouTube link:

https://youtu.be/l_1v17HBRC8

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Week 1 NFL ATS and DFS Picks

Mitch Trubisky is 3-0 in his last three games against the Lions. He owns a 106.3 QB rating and has thrown for 11TDs in five games. The Bears are +2 this Sunday in Detroit

The 2020 NFL season kicked off Thursday night with the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs drubbing the Houston Texans 34-20. Today we get our first NFL Sunday of the season! Let's dive in to some of my top gambling picks of the day:

Pick of the week: Chicago Bears (+2) @ Detroit Lions

I'm seriously perplexed by this line. On one hand, I understand the struggles of Mitch Trubisky and the Bears offense last season. But on the other, Trubisky has led the Bears to three straight victories over the Lions, who have been one of the few teams he has consistently torched in his career. The Bears defense is back at full strength (minus Robert Quinn who is doubtful with an ankle injury) and the Lions will like be without both Halapoulivaati Vaitai (foot) and Kenny Golladay (hamstring). I was already liking the Bears before the injury news, this just seals it.

Other Picks

Give me the Over 42 on the Phi/Was game. Miles Sanders is out for Philly, but this is a matchup that went for 59 and 64 points last season. I'll also take the Over 42 on LAC/Cin game. The Bengals defense was awful last season and the Chargers won't be the same without Derwin James. Both teams should have enough offensive firepower to make it happen. Give me the Indianapolis Colts (-8) @ Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are just a plain bad football team, so I'm not scared away by that line on the road. The last three and five of the last six games between GB/Min have been Under 45. I'll play that history especially since I don't like either of the offenses. Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) should be quite the shootout. The Falcons have won their last three home openers, so I'll take them on the turf.

DFS Picks

QB:

  • Stud worth paying up for: Russell Wilson @ ATL ($8400)

This game is going to be a shootout and Wilson will have all of his weapons at his disposal. He's well worth the price this week.

  • Cash play: Carson Wentz @ WAS ($7700)

I already liked Wentz before Sanders was ruled out. His floor should be pretty high in a matchup he lit up last year.

  • GPP plays: Mitch Trubisky @ DET ($6900), Gardner Minshew v. IND ($6700)

As I mentioned above, Trubisky has owned the Lions in his career (20.3FDP). At his price he'll be a steal and very low owned. The Jags will likely be down early and throwing the ball most of the game, making Minshew another intriguing low cost option.

  • Notable Fade: Josh Allen v. NYJ ($7900)

I'm just not buying him as a passer. That matched with one of the lower Over/Under totals on the slate means he's not getting anywhere near my lineups this week.

RB:

  • Stud worth paying up for: Christian McCaffrey v. LVR ($10000)

The massive price tag is going to scare a lot of people off, but with plenty of low cost options available on the slate and a juicy matchup, Run CMC will be well worth it this week.

  • Cash play: Austin Ekeler @ CIN ($7700)

Without Melvin Gordon last season, Ekeler was a true fantasy stud. Volume, matchup, and affordable cost all make him an excellent play in all formats, especially cash.

  • GPP plays: Marlon Mack @ JAC ($6100), Boston Scott @ WAS ($4700)

Boston Scott will likely be the highest owned value player on the slate after the Miles Sanders injury so he is a requisite mention here. Don't sleep on Marlon Mack. The Jags defense is bad and the Colts are fully committed to a run-heavy offense. Jonathan Taylor will get his snaps, but Mack is still the lead dog for now.

  • Notable fade: Nick Chubb @ BAL ($7500)
The arrival of Kareem Hunt has drastically cut into Chubb's massive upside. His matchup and his cost make him a non-starter for me this week.

WR:

  • Stud worth paying up for: Julio Jones v. SEA ($8200)

The Seahawks are far removed from their Legion of Boom days. This unit has been torched on multiple occasions recently. Julio could be in for a big day and I like his price tag being less than Michael Thomas ($8800)

  • Cash play: Keenan Allen @ CIN ($7000)

I may not be a big Tyrod Taylor fan, but the volume should be there for Allen. Combine that with a matchup against a weak defense and that's a strong combination in cash games.

  • GPP plays: Bryan Edwards @ CAR ($4500), Terry McLaurin v. PHI ($6500)

It is very rare that you'll find a starting player at the minimum cost in DFS. It's even rarer when that player has massive upside. Save yourself lots of money and buy into Edwards' hype. Lost in that middle cost range, Terry McLaurin could be in for a big day against the Eagles (a team he torched for 21.5 and 21 FDP last season)

  • Notable fade: Mike Evans ($7500)
It looks as though he will play despite a nagging hamstring injury, but I'm not touching him. Soft tissue injuries are always tough to come back from, and a matchup with Marcus Lattimore isn't going to help matters.

TE:

  • Stud worth paying up for: George Kittle v. ARI ($8000)

Deebo Samuel is out. The Cardinals are awful against TEs. Don't overthink this one.

  • Cash play: Zach Ertz @ WAS ($6600)

Ertz is one of the steadiest performers in fantasy football thanks to great volume and efficiency. He's beautifully priced and hard to pass up in cash games.

  • GPP plays: Hayden Hurst v. SEA ($5200), Will Dissly @ ATL ($4900)

Did I mention this game is going to be a shootout? Yea, give me Hurst finally getting his chance to shine in a high volume offense against a weak secondary. Dissly is a little more risky coming off an achilles injury, but when healthy he's been a great performer and a favorite target of Russell Wilson.

  • Notable fade: Rob Gronkowski @ NO ($5500)
Just don't do it.

DST: 

  • Cash play: Bills v. Jets ($4700)

They get to play against a walking turnover in Sam Darnold at home in a game that will likely end up 12-10. Yea, I like them

  • GPP play: Colts ($3700)

This will likely be a popular low cost pick, but for good reason. The Colts get after the QB well and should be able to create some havoc against a woeful Jaguars team.

  • Notable fade: Patriots ($4600)
Don't be fooled by the matchup. The Dolphins have some playmakers on the offensive side of the ball so they could find themselves putting up some points. The Patriots defense is also missing a few key starters who opted out due to COVID-19. This is a trap pick.

 Here are my lineups for the week:
 
    Cash Play                                GPP Play                                SuperFlex GPP Play

Best of luck to all your bets and entries!


Friday, July 10, 2020

What if the 2020 MLB Season Went Off Without a Hitch? Would The Cubs Have Won It All? The Answer May Surprise You... (A MLB The Show 20 Simulation)

Cubs opening day of the 2020 MLB season is less than two weeks away!

It's weird saying that, because for the longest time none of us thought it was going to happen. Between COVID-19 concerns and an ugly labor dispute between the players and the owners, MLB fans were brought to their knees just begging for the opportunity to have a season. Fortunately, a 60 game season was eventually implemented, and we the fans are finally able to be treated to some summer baseball at last.

But what if COVID-19 never existed? What if the coronavirus was never able to reach global pandemic levels and the 2020 MLB season went ahead as originally scheduled? How would the season have turned out for the Chicago Cubs and the rest of the league?

Well thanks to MLB The Show 20, I was able to give the original 2020 MLB season an authentic simulation to see just how well the Cubs would (could?) have done in a coronavirus-less world.

Let's see how it all panned out:

Regular Season
  • 103-59 (won the division by 17 games over the Reds)(Top NL seed by 6 games over the Dodgers)(Top record in the MLB by 1 game over the Astros)
  • .259/.341/.446 team batting slash line (9th/7th/6th in MLB)
  • Offense was 5th in runs scored, 3rd in HR, 28th in K
  • 3.34 Team ERA, 20 team shutouts (T-2nd), 28 blown saves (T-24th)
If you listened to any of the buzz around the Cubs this off-season, you would have thought the team was in for a disaster of an upcoming season. However, it is easy to forget just how talented the Cubs roster actually is.

Nonetheless, I don't think anyone could have predicted a season quite like this one. The Cubs dominated the early months of the season, jumping out to huge leads in both the division and the NL by the end of May. Injuries plagued the team again at different points of the year, but for the most part, the team prevailed in the regular season as a whole unit under first year manager David Ross. Below, we'll go into more detail on how individual players performed.

Starting Lineup
 Name PA Slash Line
 Additional
Kris Bryant
668
.294/.389/.561
36HR 107R 88RBI
Willson Contreras
584
.284/.362/.466
24HR
Anthony Rizzo
662
.285/.379/.530
37HR 97R 100RBI
Javier Baez
631
.231/.279/.429
26HR 16SB 91RBI
Kyle Schwarber
604
.226/.320/.426
26HR
Ian Happ
540
.271/.354/.490
23HR 11SB 84RBI
Jason Heyward
477
.296/.394/.470
15HR
Jason Kipnis
264
.311/.403/.474
8HR

First things first: Kris Bryant killed it in the lead-off spot. For the second straight season, KB got off to a scorching hot start in the months of April and May (his AVG was over .400 and his SLG over 1.000 deep into May) and was firmly in the MVP conversation. The Cubs captain, Anthony Rizzo, refused to be overshadowed, putting together a monster campaign of his own. Rizzo was even leading in the MVP race as late as July (he finished 5th in voting, Bryant was 4th). Bryzzo combined to be top performers in the NL in HR (Bryant: T-6th, Rizzo: 8th), Runs scored (1st and 2nd), SLG (5th and 9th), OPS (4th and 8th), and batting WAR (5th and 9th), while Bryant finished 6th in OBP and Rizzo T-5th in RBIs. However, Rizzo was out-shined at the 1B position by division rival Paul Goldshmidt, who finished 2nd in NL MVP voting, and was unable to capture a Silver Slugger. Along with Kris Bryant, Willson Contreras captured a Silver Slugger at his respective position. Willy slotted into the number 2 hole all season, a prime slot between two MVP candidates which allowed him to have another excellent offensive season. Unfortunately, both Javier Baez and Kyle Schwarber came crashing down after impressive 2019 campaigns due to poor strikeout rates (28.8% and 27.6% respectively) and abnormally low BABIPs (.288 and .277). However, the bottom of the order was far from sunk as Ian Happ broke out in a big way. Happ initially opened the 2020 season in a platoon with Albert Almora, but took over a full time role when Almora went down with a shin injury. Happ continued his dominance of right-handed pitching while making immense strides against lefties, eventually solidifying a full-time role after Almora returned. Jason Heyward had his best offensive season in a Cubs uniform working predominantly against right-handed pitching. Jason Kipnis didn’t open the season as an every day player, however, due to the struggles of Nico Hoerner (detailed below), Kipnis seized a regular role hammering righties and solidifying the bottom part of the order. 

Bench
 Name PA Slash Line
 Additional
Albert Almora
191
.248/.346/.424
6HR
Steven Souza
276
.292/.375/.531
15HR
David Bote
359
.252/.355/.391
9HR
Brock Holt
403
.289/.378/.438
12HR 8SB
Victor Caratini
306
.281/.337/.438
10HR
Nico Hoerner
306
.236/.292/.325
3HR
Hernan Perez
75
.278/.307/.458
3HR
Trent Giambrone
7
.000/.000/.000

 Ian Miller
 19 .263/.263/.474 1HR 1SB
 Robel Garcia
 4.000/.000/.000
 

As mentioned above, Albert Almora started the season in a platoon with Ian Happ. Prior to his injury, Almora was having a solid offensive season, but his season went downhill after his shin injury. Steven Souza dominated left handers throughout the season in a platoon with Heyward, even putting together some decent performances against right handers from time to time. David Bote suffered from a disappointing power outage and struggled mightily against left handers, but still performed admirably in a utility role. In order to fill the need for a left-handed bench bat, Theo and Co orchestrated a trade at the deadline with the Milwaukee Brewers to acquire Brock Holt in return for Michael Rucker and Aramis Ademan. Holt, who was hitting over .330 for the Brewers at the time, unfortunately didn’t live up to expectations post-trade as his average tumbled below .300 in his brief tenure with the Cubs. Victor Caratini continued to be an asset off the bench, taking on a role spelling both Anthony Rizzo and Willson Contreras at their respective positions. Nico Hoerner opened the season as the starting 2B, however, a quick start was nullified as pitchers started to figure him out, eventually landing him back in AAA (where he rebounded with a .305/.344/.463 slash line).

Starting Rotation
 NameIP
ERA/FIP/WHIP
 Additional
Kyle Hendricks
183.1
2.21/3.53/1.05
30GS 1.72BB/9
Yu Darvish
168.1
3.74/3.89/1.35
31GS 10.37K/9
Jon Lester
177.0
4.07/3.98/1.29
31GS
Jose Quintana
169.0
2.93/3.20/1.14
31GS
Tyler Chatwood
100.1
2.78/3.61/1.22
21GS
Alec Mills
115.7
2.88/2.89/1.03
46APP 12GS

The Professor (Kyle Hendricks) dazzled in yet another season. Despite low strikeout numbers (6.92 K/9), Hendricks led the league in BB/9 and finished second and third in ERA and WHIP respectively. Yu Darvish had an up and down season, at times being absolutely dominant (he racked up 14+K in multiple starts), but also being susceptible to the long ball (1.23 HR/9) and walks (4.17 BB/9) from time to time. Jon Lester ended his 14-year career in typical Jon Lester fashion, putting up gritty performances throughout the season, even coming up clutch in some big moments. Jose Quintana finally proved his worth in a Cubs uniform, tossing arguably one of the best seasons in his career. The front office will have a big decision to make regarding his free agency this off-season. If not for an unfortunate pectoral injury which cost him the final two months of the season, Tyler Chatwood could have completed a gem of a campaign. Working in the rotation right from the beginning of the season, Chatwood racked up strikeouts at a career high rate (8.97 K/9) and flourished in the number 5 starter role. Alec Mills continued to show out in a swingman role, filling in in the rotation as injuries forced multiple starters to miss games. He eventually took a stronghold on Tyler Chatwood's slot until Mills went down with his own rotator cuff injury in mid-September (he would miss all of the playoffs).

Bullpen
 NameIP
ERA/FIP/WHIP
 Additional
Adbert Alzolay
77.2
4.40/4.09/1.39
47APP 5GS
Brad Wieck
68.0
4.37/4.01/1.35
63APP 1.46HR/9
Michael Wacha
79.0
2.05/3.19/1.08
43APP 6.42H/9
Rowan Wick
56.0
4.18/5.52/1.34
60APP 1.93HR/9
Kyle Ryan
48.1
2.98/3.37/1.49
44APP
Sean Doolittle
65.1
4.13/4.65/1.70
71APP 20HLD
Jeremy Jeffress
65.1
2.48/3.93/1.24
65APP 35HLD
Craig Kimbrel
60.2
4.01/3.40/1.35
64APP 44/50SV
Duane Underwood
15.1
0.00/2.48/0.78
9APP 2.91H/9
 Dan Winkler
 1.1 0.00/2.25/0.752APP
James Norwood
13.1
5.40/3.53/1.28
12APP
 Justin Steele
 9.0 2.00/1.78/1.33 4APP
 Colin Rea
 6.0 1.50/2.33/1.17 4APP
 Dillon Maples
 26.1 4.44/6.57/1.78 32APP 2.73HR/9
 Ryan Tepera
 19.0 6.16/6.26/1.42 17APP 2.84HR/9
 Danny Hultzen
 13.2 5.93/4.54/2.41 15APP 15.76H/9

Adbert Alzolay started the season at AAA, but an early season injury to Dan Winkler earned him a call-up to the big league 'pen. Alzolay was able to stay the whole season in Chicago, finding good amounts of success both out of the 'pen and as a spot starter until he tired out late in September. Brad Wieck continued to show flashes of potential while also having some struggles keeping the ball inside the park. Following disappointing struggles from Ryan Tepera (DFA) and Dillon Maples (Traded to SF), Michael Wacha was acquired from the New York Mets in exchange for Josh Phegley (who was off to a torrid start in AAA Iowa). Wacha quickly became a major asset in the Cubs 'pen and proved his worth throughout the course of the season. Shoulder injuries doomed Rowan Wick's 2020 season as he could just never seem to get on track following a promising 2019 season. He'll look to get back on track in 2021. Kyle Ryan continued to impress against not only lefties, but also against righties in the first season of the 3 batter rule. However, he was unable to stay healthy as he missed two months of the season with shoulder issues. Sean Doolittle was acquired from the Nationals (for Tyson Miller and Alfonso Rivas) to not only shore up the back end of the bullpen, but also to give another left-handed threat. However, he had trouble throwing strikes in both Washington and in Chicago, leading to some issues. Jeremy Jeffress was everything the Cubs could have asked for when they signed him to a "prove it" deal in the off-season. He initially started out as a middle reliever, but due to the struggles of Rowan Wick, he slid into a set up role and was extremely consistent. Craig Kimbrel had one of the more peculiar seasons you'll see. He got shelled early on, but by the all-star break he had a sterling sub-three ERA and made an all-star appearance. However, Kimbrel's second half was littered with walks and blow up performances, ballooning his ERA all the way near 5 before again dropping it back to 4 before the end of the season came. All that being said, Kimbrel still finished T-4th in the NL in saves. Duane Underwood found himself back in the majors near the tail end of the season due to some injuries to Rowan Wick and Alec Mills, putting up impressive, pristine numbers. Following the DFA of Danny Hultzen, Justin Steele was able to breakthrough into the majors for his first cup of coffee, where he seriously impressed as well.

Down on the Farm

The Chicago Cubs farm system was able to put together some impressive performances as complete units. The Iowa Cubs made the AAA National Championship where they unfortunately lost to the Pawtucket Red Sox. The Tennessee Smokies won their first half division, earning themselves a playoff trip despite struggles in the second half. They found a way to go on and win the Southern League Championship.

Chase Strumpf was the minor league hitter of the year as he showed great improvement in his power. Brennen Davis showed why he was arguably the Cubs top prospect as excitement continues to grow as he progresses. Cole Roederer had his share of struggles at the plate, however, he made vast improvements against left-handed pitchers and swiped an astounding 30 bases. Christopher Morel continued to rise up prospect boards by showing off with both the stick and the glove. Miguel Amaya had serious issues in his first taste of AA with an AVG near .215 all season. However, he was red hot the final two months of the season as he was able to raise his AVG all the way .250 by season's end.

Jharel Cotton and Colin Rea both proved to be successful revitalization projects, thus putting themselves in prime position for the 5th rotation spot next season. Justin Steele (minor league pitcher of the year) finally had the breakout we've all been waiting for as he moved from a full-time starter to a swingman role. Oscar De La Cruz had an insane first half starting in AA, eventually landing him in AAA. Halfway through the season, Dakota Mekkes looked headed for the scrap pile with an ERA near 5. However, an insane final 2 months of the season plummeted his ERA to just north of 3. Brailyn Marquez was able to get his first taste of AA, and while he had his struggles, he definitely showed he belonged at times. Ryan Jensen had some second half struggles, but a blistering first half proved he has the "stuff" to make it as a starter. Michael McAvene showed elite potential as a "do-it-all" reliever and is on the fast track to the major leagues. Kohl Franklin  was pushed hard and fast, but showed no fear and all the makings of a possible front line starter. Manuel Rodriguez showed why he was coveted so much by the Cubs front office that they felt the need to give him a 40-man roster spot.

Playoffs

The Cubs entered the postseason as the top seed in the NL. They got to face the Wild Card Game winning-Reds in the divisional round, where they disposed of them in a mere three games thanks to heavy lifting by Kyle Schwarber at the dish and a trio of dominant starts by Hendricks/Darvish/Quintana.

The NLCS brought on another face-off with the Los Angeles Dodgers (97-65, beat the Phillies in 5 in the NLDS), the same team the Cubs had faced back in both 2016 and 2017. Below is a game by game summary:

Game 1: Anthony Rizzo gave the Cubs an early 3-run lead with a first inning HR off of Clayton Kershaw. The Cubs then add on 3 more runs on 5 hits in the third inning, chasing Kershaw after only 2.1 IP. Kyle Hendricks tossed 5+ scoreless innings (4H 4K 2BB) while the combination of Doolittle/Chatwood/Alzolay completed a 7-0 shutout.

Game 2: NL MVP Cody Bellinger broke a scoreless tie in the 4th inning by homering off of Yu Darvish (6IP 5H 8K 3BB 1ER). The Dodgers added 1 run in both the 7th and 8th innings. Julio Urias (7IP 11K 4BB) combined with Ross Stripling and Kenley Jansen to complete a no-hit shutout and a 3-0 victory.

Game 3: The Cubs scored 2 in the first, but the Dodgers were able to get one back in the bottom half. Justin Turner piled on with a 2-run HR off of Jose Quintana (5IP 4H 5K 1BB 3ER) in the 2nd. David Price (5.1IP 7H 4K 2BB 2ER) and the Dodgers 'pen shut the Cubs down from there to secure a 3-2 victory.

Game 4: Anthony Rizzo blasted a 2-run HR off of Walker Buehler in the 1st inning. Ian Happ added an RBI single three batters later as the Cubs jumped out to a 3-0 lead. But in the bottom half, Justin Turner smacked a lead-off HR off Jon Lester before AJ Pollock doubled home two runners later in the first. The Dodgers would add another run on an error in that inning. Willson Contreras equalized the game in the 2nd with a HR. However, Jon Lester was unable to make it out of the 3rd inning (2+IP 6H 3K 1BB). The Dodgers broke the tie in the 6th on a solo HR by Pollock, who then extended that lead with a 3-run HR off Wieck in the 8th. Anthony Rizzo tried to play hero with a 3-run HR off of Blake Treinen in the 9th, but following a Javy double, Kyle Schwarber was struck out by Ross Stripling to end an 8-7 loss.

Game 5: Kris Bryant opened the game with a solo blast off of Kershaw. Justin Turner answered in the bottom half with his own lead-off HR off Hendricks. Mookie Betts added another solo two batters later, while Joc Pederson added one in the 4th. David Bote doubled home Kyle Schwarber in the 7th, but a Max Muncy solo blast off of Doolittle in the 8th put the Cubs on the brink of elimination. Ian Happ wasn't ready to go home yet though as he blasted a game tying 2-run HR off of Ross Stripling (filling in for an injured Kenley Jansen) in the 9th. Javier Baez connected on a 2-run blast in the 10th, followed up by a solo shot by Schwarber 2 batters later. Craig Kimbrel went 2IP for the 7-4 win.

The win did not come without a cost though as Anthony Rizzo was forced to leave the game in extras due to a hip injury. He would be forced to miss game 6.

Game 6: Mookie Betts broke a scoreless tie in the 3rd inning with a 2-run HR off of Darvish. Kike Hernandez added another 2-run blast in the 4th. The Cubs tried to answer with a Happ RBI double in the 4th and a Heyward solo HR in the 8th, but Justin Turner put the game on ice with a 2-run HR off of Jeremy Jeffress in the 9th. The Cubs tried to threaten in the bottom of the 9th, but Pedro Baez slammed the door as the Dodgers won the game 6-2 and the series 4-2 for a trip to the World Series.

World Series: The Dodgers took on the AL Champion Twins (98-64, beat Boston in 5 in the ALDS and swept Oakland in the ALCS). While the Twins were able to put up a little bit of a fight, the Dodgers still dispatched of them with relative ease, finally capturing that elusive World Series title in 6 games.

League Awards
 AwardNL
AL
 MVP Cody Bellinger (LAD)(.318/.409/.594 35HR 111RBI)
 JD Martinez (BOS)(.323/.423/.566 37HR 125RBI)
 Cy Young
 Walker Buehler (LAD)(18-4 2.84ERA 1.13WHIP 205K)
Carlos Carrasco (CLE)(20-3 2.90ERA 1.13WHIP 206K)
 Batting Title
 Mookie Betts (LAD)(.338)
Anthony Rendon (LAA)(.347)
 Rookie of the Year
 Kwang Hyun Kim (STL)(15.3 2.83ERA 1.20WHIP)
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL)(.255/.316/.482 31HR 81RBI)
 Postseason MVP
 Max Muncy (LAD)(.350/.466/.650)
Jorge Polanco (.387/.457/.597)
 World Series MVP
Max Muncy (.462BA 2HR)
 


I sincerely hope you all enjoyed this MLB 20 The Show simulation of the pre-COVID19 2020 MLB season. Let me know below in the comments what you think about the Cubs performance! Were you impressed at their regular season? Disappointed how it all ended? Or just overall annoyed that the Dodgers won something (trust me, I get it haha)?

In the meantime, share with your friends. We could all use a little more baseball in our lives!