Week 11 NFL and DFS picks

In my first effort making picks last weekend, I made out pretty well (5-2-1). Let’s see what I got this week:

• Cowboys (-7) @ Lions

I feel like the Cowboys really need this game, and a soft Lions team comes at the right time. Despite being on the road, I think the Cowboys can easily handle the Lions and get back on track. 

• Jaguars/Colts over 43

Nick Foles is back, and so is Jacoby Brissett. I think this game ends up having a few points scored in it. 

• Saints/Buccaneers over 49.5

I was actually surprised to see this game not even over 50. Marshon Lattimore is out, so the Bucs should be able to find some success through the air. Vintage Brees may show up this week against a bad Bucs secondary. 

• Jets (-2.5) @ Redskins

The Redskins are a bad football team. This pick could easily backfire because the Jets aren’t much better, but I’ll take my chances. 

• Falcons/Panthers over 49.5

Both defenses in this game are atrocious. I don’t expect a repeat of the Falcons performance defensively from last week, so I’ll take the over here. 

• Bengals/Raiders under 48.5

Finally an under! The Raiders may score 35, but is anybody betting on the Bengals breaking 10?

• Bears/Rams under 39.5

This is a low number of points, and I’m still taking the under. Everybody knows about the Bears struggles offensively this season. But have you heard about the Rams? The Bears defense is very banged up, but they’ve still done a solid job of not letting up a whole bunch of points. This may end up being an ugly, low scoring defensive battle. 

DFS Picks (with FanDuel prices)

• QB: Dak Prescott ($8100), Jameis Winston ($7600), Nick Foles ($7000)

Dak is in the midst of a strong stretch fantasy-wise. Detroit’s defense is coming off of giving up 3TDs to Mitch Trubisky. With Marshon Lattimore being out, Jameis has a shot to blow the top off of the Saints defense this week. People forget, but before Minshew mania started, Nick Foles got off to a hot start in week 1 against the Chiefs. This isn’t the best of matchups, but Foles is still a nice upside play here. 

• RB: Ezekiel Elliott ($8400), Tevin Coleman ($6700), Brian Hill ($5900)

I’m addition to feeling Dak this week, I’m also a fan of Zeke as well. The Lions run defense is pourous so it’s possible both him and Dak can have big games. Tevin Coleman may look like a good pick on paper, but there’s some definite risk. Nonetheless, he could pop off for a huge game. Brian Hill should get a ton of run against a very bad run defense in Carolina. For the price, he should be a great low cost option. 

• WR: Mike Evans ($8200), Jamison Crowder ($6500), DJ Moore ($6000)

Again, Marshon Lattimore is out this weekend. Take advantage by going out and getting Mike Evans. Jamison Crowder has had two straight strong games. The Redskins pass defense is actually solid, but Crowder could still find a path to success. DJ Moore’s target share has been very high of late and he’s been taking advantage. The Falcons pass D is very bad and this game should be a high scoring affair. Moore is a strong option. 

• TE: Darren Waller ($6700), Jared Cook ($6000), Ross Dwelley ($4900)

Waller hasn’t been on point of late, but the Bengals bad defense gives him a shot to perform highly in this game. Jared Cook and Drew Brees are always a good match. Pile on with players in this Bucs/Saints game. If you’re looking for a low cost option/feeling risky, the Cardinals are an NFL-worst against TEs for fantasy. Take advantage by picking Dwelley. 

• DST: Cowboys ($4100), Eagles ($3200)

I’m pretty high on the Cowboys weekend as you can tell. Facing a backup QB in Jeff Driskel, I think the defense can take advantage. If you’re feeling risky (or you’re just looking for a placeholder defense to save cash), I actually would take a chance on the Eagles. The defense has been playing well of late and they get the Patriots at home.